FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

305.22 – 159.59

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

337 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 20.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 566.5 ±9.9

5234Marauder Bots

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 20.16Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 153.2Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 131.86Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.1 ±10.5

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 73.16Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 19.76Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

573Mech Warriors

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 66.67Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5234, 7166, 2337

/ 100 compat

Projected

305.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5234, 7166, 2337

Auto

61.3 20%

Teleop

170.9 56%

Endgame

71.3 23%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4381, 9673, 573

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4381, 9673, 573

Auto

34.0 22%

Teleop

93.7 60%

Endgame

29.2 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score305.2pts

Blue projected score159.6pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 145.6
Score range: 140–325
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 505 vs event baseline 108.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

566.5Season APEX383.1

61.3Auto34

170.9Teleop93.7

71.3Endgame29.2

0Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	39
teleop	182	66
endgame	92	63
foul	0	0
total	337	168

Result

Final score

337 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 20.1 pts

Match videos

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