FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 79

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.78 – 191.57

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 65.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.7 ±12.8

5231The Radical Jays

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 2.34Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6071The Aluminators

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 18.75Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10978Complete Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 36.69Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 440.7 ±10.5

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 37.24Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 121.01Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 33.32Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5231, 6071, 10978

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5231, 6071, 10978

Auto

21.2 37%

Teleop

22.9 40%

Endgame

12.6 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9661, 2337, 4422

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9661, 2337, 4422

Auto

39.1 21%

Teleop

107.6 58%

Endgame

39.5 21%

Strengths

· 2337 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.8pts

Blue projected score191.6pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -133.8
Score range: 40–210
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 380 vs event baseline 100.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

147.7Season APEX440.7

21.2Auto39.1

22.9Teleop107.6

12.6Endgame39.5

0Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	29
teleop	46	166
endgame	32	81
foul	0	0
total	104	276

Result

Final score

104 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 65.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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