FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

46.22 – 108.57

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 130.1 ±13.3

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX 7.69Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9662Valley Lutheran Chargers

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 14.93Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6642Stingers of Steel

Season APEX 45Event APEX 23.6Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234.6 ±12.2

5982Merrill's Circuits of Destruction

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 35.09Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5436Cyber Cats

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 64.94Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5162The Big Red Theory

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 8.54Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10613, 9662, 6642

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10613, 9662, 6642

Auto

12.0 25%

Teleop

26.0 54%

Endgame

10.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5982, 5436, 5162

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5982, 5436, 5162

Auto

23.8 23%

Teleop

52.2 51%

Endgame

26.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score46.2pts

Blue projected score108.6pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.3
Score range: 28–127
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 189 vs event baseline 101.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

130.1Season APEX234.6

12Auto23.8

26Teleop52.2

10.3Endgame26.9

77Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	34
teleop	25	61
endgame	7	27
foul	15	0
total	67	122

Result

Final score

67 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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