Qualification · Qualification 76
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
131.6 – 201.03
30%70%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
91 – 220
Prediction correct · off by 29.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 338.9 ±11.2
Season APEX 84Event APEX 44.91Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 23.69Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 63Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 408 ±11.1
Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 147.63Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 38.23Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 15.17Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3688, 7210, 573
75
/ 100 compatProjected
131.6 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 3688, 7210, 573
Auto
26.0 21%
Teleop
68.9 55%
Endgame
29.4 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7166, 9773, 10614
86
/ 100 compatProjected
201 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 7166, 9773, 10614
Auto
48.3 24%
Teleop
109.9 54%
Endgame
45.5 22%
Strengths
- · 7166 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 1.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score131.6pts
Blue projected score201pts
Red win probability30%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -69.4
- Score range
- 114–219
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
338.9Season APEX408
26Auto48.3
68.9Teleop109.9
29.4Endgame45.5
19Consistency63
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 53 |
| teleop | 35 | 117 |
| endgame | 28 | 50 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 91 | 220 |
Result
Final score
91 – 220
Prediction correct · off by 29.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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