FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

61.38 – 52.33

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

91 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 15.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.1 ±13.3

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 11.58Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9594Ashley Bears

Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 22.97Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7109Clare Chaos Theory

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 26.83Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.9 ±12.2

9755Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 16.76Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5234Marauder Bots

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 13.5Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1711RAPTORS

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 22.07Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9673, 9594, 7109

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9673, 9594, 7109

Auto

11.9 19%

Teleop

35.5 56%

Endgame

16.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9755, 5234, 1711

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9755, 5234, 1711

Auto

20.8 47%

Teleop

10.6 24%

Endgame

12.7 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.4pts

Blue projected score52.3pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 9.1
Score range: 34–79
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 145 vs event baseline 100.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

197.1Season APEX208.9

11.9Auto20.8

35.5Teleop10.6

16.3Endgame12.7

44Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	26
teleop	46	17
endgame	25	11
foul	0	0
total	91	54

Result

Final score

91 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 15.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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