FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

4.42 – 70.95

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 148.3 ±13.9

6533BeaverTech noducks

Season APEX 45Event APEX 5.13Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX 2.99Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9568AstroBots

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX -3.7Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.6 ±12.2

5231The Radical Jays

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 0.56Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 32.88Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5110Roboherd

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 37.51Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6533, 10613, 9568

/ 100 compat

Projected

4.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6533, 10613, 9568

Auto

7.0 100%

Teleop

-0.6 0%

Endgame

-2.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5231, 4422, 5110

/ 100 compat

Projected

71 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5231, 4422, 5110

Auto

27.0 37%

Teleop

25.9 36%

Endgame

19.4 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score4.4pts

Blue projected score71pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66.5
Score range: -14–89
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 143 vs event baseline 101.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

148.3Season APEX213.6

7Auto27

-0.6Teleop25.9

-2.4Endgame19.4

93Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	21
teleop	24	51
endgame	16	13
foul	0	0
total	58	85

Result

Final score

58 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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