FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

53.97 – 141.54

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 18.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 160.4 ±12.7

6100MS Mobots

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 26.82Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5162The Big Red Theory

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 11.17Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10614AEA Robolution

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 15.98Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.6 ±10.5

6033Gadget Agents

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 47.43Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10978Complete Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 33.25Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 60.86Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6100, 5162, 10614

/ 100 compat

Projected

54 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6100, 5162, 10614

Auto

0.3 1%

Teleop

39.7 69%

Endgame

17.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6033, 10978, 8873

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6033, 10978, 8873

Auto

29.9 23%

Teleop

72.2 55%

Endgame

29.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.79 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54pts

Blue projected score141.5pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -87.6
Score range: 36–160
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 101.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

160.4Season APEX320.6

0.3Auto29.9

39.7Teleop72.2

17.6Endgame29.1

28Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	45
teleop	26	78
endgame	7	53
foul	0	0
total	51	176

Result

Final score

51 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 18.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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