FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.68 – 142.65

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 35.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 196.6 ±13.3

9594Ashley Bears

Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 24.54Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 35.08Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9755Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 14.06Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355.9 ±10.5

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 65.9Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

573Mech Warriors

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 59.43Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6642Stingers of Steel

Season APEX 45Event APEX 17.32Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9594, 9661, 9755

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9594, 9661, 9755

Auto

15.7 25%

Teleop

29.3 47%

Endgame

17.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4381, 573, 6642

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4381, 573, 6642

Auto

31.9 22%

Teleop

83.4 58%

Endgame

28.4 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.7pts

Blue projected score142.7pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69
Score range: 56–161
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 288 vs event baseline 100.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

196.6Season APEX355.9

15.7Auto31.9

29.3Teleop83.4

17Endgame28.4

12Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	33
teleop	32	124
endgame	35	44
foul	5	0
total	87	201

Result

Final score

87 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 35.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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