FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

83.58 – 37.86

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

59 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 13.7 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 280.1 ±12.2

9755Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX -Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX -Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 58.86Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.1 ±12.7

5231The Radical Jays

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX -Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 13.14Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5235Gears of Fortune

Season APEX 56.9Event APEX -Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9755, 9773, 4422

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9755, 9773, 4422

Auto

19.7 24%

Teleop

43.8 52%

Endgame

20.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5231, 7195, 5235

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5231, 7195, 5235

Auto

9.1 24%

Teleop

21.5 57%

Endgame

7.2 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.6pts

Blue projected score37.9pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.7
Score range: 25–97
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 94 vs event baseline 74.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

280.1Season APEX193.1

12.3Auto1.7

31.4Teleop9.1

15.1Endgame2.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	5
teleop	26	30
endgame	20	0
foul	0	0
total	59	35

Result

Final score

59 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 13.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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