FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

317.04 – 39.61

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

270 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 26.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 637.7 ±9.3

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 39.54Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 152.67Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 124.83Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 115.7 ±12.1

9650Mio Thunderbotz

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX -1.3Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5234Marauder Bots

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 14.52Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8286E.A.G.L.E.S. Robotics

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 26.39Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3767, 7166, 2337

/ 100 compat

Projected

317 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3767, 7166, 2337

Auto

62.3 20%

Teleop

181.5 59%

Endgame

65.1 21%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9650, 5234, 8286

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.6 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9650, 5234, 8286

Auto

16.5 41%

Teleop

8.6 21%

Endgame

15.0 37%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score317pts

Blue projected score39.6pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 277.4
Score range: 22–335
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 304 vs event baseline 100.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

637.7Season APEX115.7

62.3Auto16.5

181.5Teleop8.6

65.1Endgame15

73Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	13
teleop	182	10
endgame	36	11
foul	5	0
total	270	34

Result

Final score

270 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 26.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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