FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

87.23 – 15.06

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

123 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 44.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.9 ±12.1

5084Team FridgeBot

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 16.49Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5436Cyber Cats

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 63.25Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 7.49Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 119 ±13.9

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX -2.18Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5231The Radical Jays

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX -2.46Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 19.7Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5084, 5436, 9673

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5084, 5436, 9673

Auto

18.3 22%

Teleop

43.5 52%

Endgame

21.5 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10613, 5231, 7210

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10613, 5231, 7210

Auto

19.1 100%

Teleop

-0.7 0%

Endgame

-3.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.2pts

Blue projected score15.1pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72.2
Score range: -3–105
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 192 vs event baseline 100.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.9Season APEX119

18.3Auto19.1

43.5Teleop-0.7

21.5Endgame-3.3

27Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	11
teleop	75	35
endgame	28	18
foul	0	5
total	123	69

Result

Final score

123 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 44.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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