Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
109.2 – 93.15
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
217 – 178
Prediction correct · off by 96.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 327.9 ±11.1
Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 51.16Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 27.35Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 30.69Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234 ±11
Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 25.45Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 26.84Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 84Event APEX 40.86Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8873, 5110, 7195
63
/ 100 compatProjected
109.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 8873, 5110, 7195
Auto
12.7 12%
Teleop
60.2 57%
Endgame
33.6 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10978, 9661, 3688
61
/ 100 compatProjected
93.2 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 10978, 9661, 3688
Auto
25.7 28%
Teleop
45.6 49%
Endgame
21.3 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.28
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score109.2pts
Blue projected score93.2pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 16
- Score range
- 75–127
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
327.9Season APEX234
12.7Auto25.7
60.2Teleop45.6
33.6Endgame21.3
17Consistency14
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 35 | 38 |
| teleop | 105 | 74 |
| endgame | 62 | 16 |
| foul | 15 | 50 |
| total | 217 | 178 |
Result
Final score
217 – 178
Prediction correct · off by 96.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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