FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

158.46 – 92.14

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

195 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 357.7 ±11.7

9755Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 10.28Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 121.72Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8286E.A.G.L.E.S. Robotics

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 26.46Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.9 ±12.7

2405Techno Trojans

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 34.71Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5162The Big Red Theory

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 14.25Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 43.18Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9755, 2337, 8286

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9755, 2337, 8286

Auto

20.5 14%

Teleop

87.6 60%

Endgame

38.9 26%

Strengths

· 2337 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2405, 5162, 9773

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2405, 5162, 9773

Auto

23.6 25%

Teleop

50.0 53%

Endgame

20.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score158.5pts

Blue projected score92.1pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.3
Score range: 74–176
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 289 vs event baseline 97.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

357.7Season APEX207.9

20.5Auto23.6

87.6Teleop50

38.9Endgame20.3

25Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	30
teleop	105	46
endgame	55	18
foul	0	0
total	195	94

Result

Final score

195 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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