FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

177.45 – 39.21

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 41.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.2 ±11.1

6100MS Mobots

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 28.2Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9650Mio Thunderbotz

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX -1.57Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 150.82Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 243.9 ±12.2

6533BeaverTech noducks

Season APEX 45Event APEX 1.19Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 6.16Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 31.86Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6100, 9650, 7166

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6100, 9650, 7166

Auto

42.1 24%

Teleop

99.1 56%

Endgame

35.7 20%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6533, 9673, 4422

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6533, 9673, 4422

Auto

16.6 41%

Teleop

24.1 60%

Endgame

-0.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score177.5pts

Blue projected score39.2pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 138.2
Score range: 21–195
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 300 vs event baseline 97.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366.2Season APEX243.9

42.1Auto16.6

99.1Teleop24.1

35.7Endgame-0.3

65Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	34
teleop	114	32
endgame	62	12
foul	0	0
total	222	78

Result

Final score

222 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 41.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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