Qualification · Qualification 61
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
86.95 – 99.26
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
99 – 88
Prediction missed · off by 11.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 28.24Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 19.47Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 39.24Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 56.9Event APEX 11.91Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 63.42Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 23.93Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7109, 9662, 3767
61
/ 100 compatProjected
86.9 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7109, 9662, 3767
Auto
18.9 23%
Teleop
48.3 58%
Endgame
16.5 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5235, 573, 6071
61
/ 100 compatProjected
99.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5235, 573, 6071
Auto
16.2 16%
Teleop
57.1 57%
Endgame
26.3 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score86.9pts
Blue projected score99.3pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -12.3
- Score range
- 69–117
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
219.6Season APEX298.2
18.9Auto16.2
48.3Teleop57.1
16.5Endgame26.3
93Consistency28
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 23 |
| teleop | 59 | 40 |
| endgame | 11 | 25 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 99 | 88 |
Result
Final score
99 – 88
Prediction missed · off by 11.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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