FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.01 – 167.28

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 282.4 ±12.4

5162The Big Red Theory

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 12.81Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 51Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9755Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 8.2Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 389.5 ±10.5

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 27.75Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5982Merrill's Circuits of Destruction

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 23.27Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 116.26Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5162, 8873, 9755

/ 100 compat

Projected

72 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5162, 8873, 9755

Auto

5.2 9%

Teleop

33.0 55%

Endgame

21.9 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3655, 5982, 2337

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3655, 5982, 2337

Auto

29.4 18%

Teleop

93.3 57%

Endgame

41.9 25%

Strengths

· 2337 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72pts

Blue projected score167.3pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.3
Score range: 55–184
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 96.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

282.4Season APEX389.5

5.2Auto29.4

33Teleop93.3

21.9Endgame41.9

32Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	41
teleop	67	113
endgame	7	69
foul	5	0
total	87	223

Result

Final score

87 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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