FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

81.56 – 66.4

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

129 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 49 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 196.1 ±12.7

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 41.67Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX -4.75Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6033Gadget Agents

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 44.64Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228.6 ±11

3688Norsemen

Season APEX 84Event APEX 38.54Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6642Stingers of Steel

Season APEX 45Event APEX 16.1Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1711RAPTORS

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 11.76Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9773, 10613, 6033

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9773, 10613, 6033

Auto

29.3 37%

Teleop

31.8 40%

Endgame

18.9 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3688, 6642, 1711

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3688, 6642, 1711

Auto

18.5 27%

Teleop

27.6 40%

Endgame

22.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score81.6pts

Blue projected score66.4pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 15.2
Score range: 49–99
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 246 vs event baseline 95.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

196.1Season APEX228.6

29.3Auto18.5

31.8Teleop27.6

18.9Endgame22.1

77Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	26
teleop	58	59
endgame	27	32
foul	0	0
total	129	117

Result

Final score

129 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 49 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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