FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.84 – 113.92

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 5.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 146.8 ±12.7

8286E.A.G.L.E.S. Robotics

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 27.41Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5231The Radical Jays

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 1.07Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 26.36Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 206.3 ±12.1

5436Cyber Cats

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 67.87Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6100MS Mobots

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 31.98Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5234Marauder Bots

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 14.07Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8286, 5231, 9661

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8286, 5231, 9661

Auto

15.7 28%

Teleop

25.5 45%

Endgame

15.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5436, 6100, 5234

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5436, 6100, 5234

Auto

23.2 22%

Teleop

45.8 43%

Endgame

37.7 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.8pts

Blue projected score113.9pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.1
Score range: 38–131
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 176 vs event baseline 96.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

146.8Season APEX206.3

15.7Auto23.2

25.5Teleop45.8

15.7Endgame37.7

0Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	29
teleop	22	58
endgame	13	15
foul	0	10
total	64	112

Result

Final score

64 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 5.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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