FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

110.06 – 178.11

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

148 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 34.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 322.6 ±11.7

573Mech Warriors

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 61Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7109Clare Chaos Theory

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 25.33Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5110Roboherd

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 23.73Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 448.6 ±11.1

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 25.69Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 147.83Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 4.59Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 573, 7109, 5110

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 573, 7109, 5110

Auto

26.3 24%

Teleop

55.9 51%

Endgame

27.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7195, 7166, 9673

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7195, 7166, 9673

Auto

37.6 21%

Teleop

95.3 54%

Endgame

43.6 25%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110.1pts

Blue projected score178.1pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -68.1
Score range: 93–195
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 357 vs event baseline 94.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

322.6Season APEX448.6

26.3Auto37.6

55.9Teleop95.3

27.5Endgame43.6

41Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	48
teleop	77	146
endgame	52	15
foul	0	0
total	148	209

Result

Final score

148 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 34.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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