FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

58.07 – 0

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

81 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 47 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 190.8 ±12.2

5982Merrill's Circuits of Destruction

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 21.12Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5084Team FridgeBot

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 18.18Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9662Valley Lutheran Chargers

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 18.77Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 152.6 ±12.7

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 18.58Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9650Mio Thunderbotz

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX -6.96Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9568AstroBots

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX -12.08Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5982, 5084, 9662

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5982, 5084, 9662

Auto

15.8 25%

Teleop

28.7 46%

Endgame

17.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9661, 9650, 9568

/ 100 compat

Projected

-0.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9661, 9650, 9568

Auto

9.7 100%

Teleop

-6.2 0%

Endgame

-3.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58.1pts

Blue projected score-0.5pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 58.1
Score range: -17–75
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 152 vs event baseline 95.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

190.8Season APEX152.6

15.8Auto9.7

28.7Teleop-6.2

17.6Endgame-3.2

42Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	19
teleop	36	24
endgame	20	23
foul	0	5
total	81	71

Result

Final score

81 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 47 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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