Qualification · Qualification 53
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
119.79 – 56.81
69%31%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
158 – 91
Prediction correct · off by 36.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.9 ±11
Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 29.92Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 24.5Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 65.37Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 41Event APEX -9.28Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 84Event APEX 35.61Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 30.48Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4422, 10978, 5436
74
/ 100 compatProjected
119.8 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 4422, 10978, 5436
Auto
26.0 23%
Teleop
61.5 53%
Endgame
28.0 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10613, 3688, 6100
47
/ 100 compatProjected
56.8 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 10613, 3688, 6100
Auto
7.5 14%
Teleop
29.8 54%
Endgame
17.4 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 0.89
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score119.8pts
Blue projected score56.8pts
Red win probability69%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 23%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 63
- Score range
- 40–137
- Upset likelihood
- 31%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
301.9Season APEX193.9
26Auto7.5
61.5Teleop29.8
28Endgame17.4
19Consistency100
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 49 | 26 |
| teleop | 84 | 52 |
| endgame | 25 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 158 | 91 |
Result
Final score
158 – 91
Prediction correct · off by 36.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.