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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

171.6660.26

80%20%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

15657

Prediction correct · off by 9.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 341 ±12.4
Season APEX 45Event APEX 3.26Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 49.5Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 118.9Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 157.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 15.9Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 45Event APEX 17.44Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 26.92Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6533, 5697, 2337
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
171.7 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6533, 5697, 2337
Auto
34.3 20%
Teleop
94.8 55%
Endgame
42.4 25%
Strengths
  • · 2337 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5162, 6642, 9594
43
/ 100 compat
Projected
60.3 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5162, 6642, 9594
Auto
6.6 11%
Teleop
33.1 54%
Endgame
21.6 35%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.72
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score171.7pts
Blue projected score60.3pts
Red win probability80%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
111.4
Score range
43189
Upset likelihood
20%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 213 vs event baseline 94.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

341Season APEX157.9
34.3Auto6.6
94.8Teleop33.1
42.4Endgame21.6
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto348
teleop8532
endgame3717
foul00
total15657

Result

Final score

15657

Prediction correct · off by 9.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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