FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.37 – 64.31

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 37.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167 ±12.7

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 24.61Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5235Gears of Fortune

Season APEX 56.9Event APEX 15.15Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9755Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 4.61Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.7 ±12.1

5234Marauder Bots

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 10.54Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 21.98Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2405Techno Trojans

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 31.79Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3655, 5235, 9755

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3655, 5235, 9755

Auto

6.6 18%

Teleop

19.1 53%

Endgame

10.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5234, 7195, 2405

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5234, 7195, 2405

Auto

13.1 20%

Teleop

31.3 48%

Endgame

20.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.4pts

Blue projected score64.3pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.9
Score range: 27–81
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 183 vs event baseline 94.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167Season APEX219.7

6.6Auto13.1

19.1Teleop31.3

10.6Endgame20.7

39Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	37
teleop	30	45
endgame	21	21
foul	10	5
total	75	108

Result

Final score

75 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 37.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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