FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

215.06 – 70.37

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

241 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.7 ±11.2

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 144.74Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 70.43Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5231The Radical Jays

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX -0.11Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247.2 ±11.7

1711RAPTORS

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 9.67Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 35.64Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6071The Aluminators

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 25.06Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7166, 4381, 5231

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7166, 4381, 5231

Auto

56.2 26%

Teleop

115.1 53%

Endgame

44.1 20%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1711, 3767, 6071

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.4 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1711, 3767, 6071

Auto

16.8 26%

Teleop

38.0 59%

Endgame

9.7 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score215.1pts

Blue projected score70.4pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 144.7
Score range: 53–232
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 92.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

407.7Season APEX247.2

56.2Auto16.8

115.1Teleop38

44.1Endgame9.7

51Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	34
teleop	131	44
endgame	39	20
foul	0	0
total	241	98

Result

Final score

241 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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