FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.58 – 268.38

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 73 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 195.4 ±12.7

10614AEA Robolution

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 15.57Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7109Clare Chaos Theory

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 26.59Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5436Cyber Cats

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 61.42Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 629.5 ±8.7

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 136.21Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 64.95Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

573Mech Warriors

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 67.22Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10614, 7109, 5436

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.6 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10614, 7109, 5436

Auto

17.1 17%

Teleop

57.5 56%

Endgame

27.4 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2337, 8873, 573

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2337, 8873, 573

Auto

40.3 15%

Teleop

155.8 59%

Endgame

66.8 25%

Strengths

· 2337 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.64 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.6pts

Blue projected score268.4pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -164.8
Score range: 83–289
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 226 vs event baseline 114.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

195.4Season APEX629.5

17.1Auto40.3

57.5Teleop155.8

27.4Endgame66.8

39Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	30
teleop	26	104
endgame	15	27
foul	0	15
total	50	176

Result

Final score

50 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 73 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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