FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

125.21 – 45.72

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

138 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 16.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 326.7 ±11.1

573Mech Warriors

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 61.24Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6033Gadget Agents

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 44.65Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5084Team FridgeBot

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 19.32Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.7 ±12.7

9662Valley Lutheran Chargers

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 18.77Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 3.65Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5110Roboherd

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 23.3Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 573, 6033, 5084

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 573, 6033, 5084

Auto

25.0 20%

Teleop

56.0 46%

Endgame

41.3 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9662, 9673, 5110

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9662, 9673, 5110

Auto

14.3 31%

Teleop

19.9 44%

Endgame

11.5 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score125.2pts

Blue projected score45.7pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 79.5
Score range: 29–142
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 92.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

326.7Season APEX169.7

25Auto14.3

56Teleop19.9

41.3Endgame11.5

51Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	21
teleop	81	23
endgame	17	22
foul	0	0
total	138	66

Result

Final score

138 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 16.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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