FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

54.85 – 31.22

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

81 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 17 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.5 ±12.7

8286E.A.G.L.E.S. Robotics

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 28.69Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9568AstroBots

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX -16.5Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 42.66Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 112.8 ±12.7

9650Mio Thunderbotz

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX -5.31Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 15.32Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10614AEA Robolution

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 21.21Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8286, 9568, 9773

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8286, 9568, 9773

Auto

12.4 22%

Teleop

23.7 43%

Endgame

19.5 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9650, 7210, 10614

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9650, 7210, 10614

Auto

11.0 36%

Teleop

14.6 48%

Endgame

4.6 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.9pts

Blue projected score31.2pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 23.6
Score range: 14–72
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 120 vs event baseline 93.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.5Season APEX112.8

12.4Auto11

23.7Teleop14.6

19.5Endgame4.6

60Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	12
teleop	38	17
endgame	18	10
foul	0	0
total	81	39

Result

Final score

81 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 17 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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