FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

16.82 – 78.7

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 51.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 145.3 ±13.3

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX -13.82Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5234Marauder Bots

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 6.41Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7109Clare Chaos Theory

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 24.23Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 285.7 ±11.1

6642Stingers of Steel

Season APEX 45Event APEX 11.09Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6100MS Mobots

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 23.33Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 44.28Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10613, 5234, 7109

/ 100 compat

Projected

16.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10613, 5234, 7109

Auto

17.4 95%

Teleop

-5.1 0%

Endgame

6.1 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6642, 6100, 8873

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6642, 6100, 8873

Auto

9.8 13%

Teleop

43.2 55%

Endgame

25.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score16.8pts

Blue projected score78.7pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -61.9
Score range: 0–96
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 199 vs event baseline 93.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

145.3Season APEX285.7

17.4Auto9.8

-5.1Teleop43.2

6.1Endgame25.2

78Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	14
teleop	28	80
endgame	12	46
foul	0	0
total	59	140

Result

Final score

59 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 51.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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