FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

40.77 – 35.83

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

93 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228 ±11.6

1711RAPTORS

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 4.51Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2405Techno Trojans

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 24.66Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5235Gears of Fortune

Season APEX 56.9Event APEX 11.6Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158.5 ±13.3

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 19.23Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6533BeaverTech noducks

Season APEX 45Event APEX 0.98Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5162The Big Red Theory

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 15.62Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1711, 2405, 5235

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1711, 2405, 5235

Auto

10.4 25%

Teleop

22.6 55%

Endgame

7.9 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9661, 6533, 5162

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9661, 6533, 5162

Auto

9.0 25%

Teleop

17.1 48%

Endgame

9.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score40.8pts

Blue projected score35.8pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4.9
Score range: 19–58
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 146 vs event baseline 93.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228Season APEX158.5

10.4Auto9

22.6Teleop17.1

7.9Endgame9.6

121Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	19
teleop	56	21
endgame	16	13
foul	0	0
total	93	53

Result

Final score

93 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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