FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.71 – 64.29

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

81 – 74

Prediction missed · off by 18 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.2 ±12.2

10614AEA Robolution

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 20.26Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3688Norsemen

Season APEX 84Event APEX 34.85Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5231The Radical Jays

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX -0.4Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 134.9 ±13.3

9662Valley Lutheran Chargers

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 21.44Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 16.79Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 26.06Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10614, 3688, 5231

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10614, 3688, 5231

Auto

10.9 18%

Teleop

39.1 66%

Endgame

9.2 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9662, 7210, 3655

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9662, 7210, 3655

Auto

22.1 35%

Teleop

29.3 46%

Endgame

11.9 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.7pts

Blue projected score64.3pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9.6
Score range: 38–81
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 155 vs event baseline 93.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.2Season APEX134.9

10.9Auto22.1

39.1Teleop29.3

9.2Endgame11.9

57Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	16
teleop	35	40
endgame	31	18
foul	0	0
total	81	74

Result

Final score

81 – 74

Prediction missed · off by 18 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.