FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

165.15 – 121.71

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

166 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 0.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 360.5 ±11.1

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 43.5Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 123.88Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9650Mio Thunderbotz

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX -2.23Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.5 ±11

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 24.31Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10978Complete Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 27.32Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 70.08Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9773, 2337, 9650

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9773, 2337, 9650

Auto

30.9 19%

Teleop

95.4 59%

Endgame

35.8 22%

Strengths

· 2337 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7195, 10978, 4381

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7195, 10978, 4381

Auto

25.9 22%

Teleop

71.2 59%

Endgame

23.0 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score165.2pts

Blue projected score121.7pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43.4
Score range: 105–182
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 288 vs event baseline 92.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

360.5Season APEX286.5

30.9Auto25.9

95.4Teleop71.2

35.8Endgame23

72Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	32
teleop	77	69
endgame	38	21
foul	0	0
total	166	122

Result

Final score

166 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 0.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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