FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

93.42 – 27.23

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

123 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.2 ±11.7

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 42.72Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7109Clare Chaos Theory

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 22.43Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8286E.A.G.L.E.S. Robotics

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 28.27Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 179.2 ±13.3

9568AstroBots

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX -17.59Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5084Team FridgeBot

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 16.25Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9594Ashley Bears

Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 28.57Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8873, 7109, 8286

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8873, 7109, 8286

Auto

12.6 13%

Teleop

54.4 58%

Endgame

27.4 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9568, 5084, 9594

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9568, 5084, 9594

Auto

2.8 10%

Teleop

15.1 55%

Endgame

9.5 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score93.4pts

Blue projected score27.2pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.2
Score range: 10–110
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 181 vs event baseline 92.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

277.2Season APEX179.2

12.6Auto2.8

54.4Teleop15.1

27.4Endgame9.5

9Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	15
teleop	66	24
endgame	36	19
foul	0	0
total	123	58

Result

Final score

123 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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