FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

89.65 – 88.75

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 57

Prediction missed · off by 37.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.1 ±12.7

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 18.88Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 42.88Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6100MS Mobots

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 27.89Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.2 ±12.2

9594Ashley Bears

Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 20.3Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6033Gadget Agents

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 49.98Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1711RAPTORS

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 18.47Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7210, 9661, 6100

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7210, 9661, 6100

Auto

20.9 24%

Teleop

37.9 44%

Endgame

26.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9594, 6033, 1711

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9594, 6033, 1711

Auto

26.3 30%

Teleop

37.8 43%

Endgame

23.2 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score89.7pts

Blue projected score88.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.9
Score range: 68–111
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 104 vs event baseline 114.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

180.1Season APEX231.2

20.9Auto26.3

37.9Teleop37.8

26.8Endgame23.2

13Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	8
teleop	22	21
endgame	11	23
foul	0	5
total	47	57

Result

Final score

47 – 57

Prediction missed · off by 37.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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