FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

168.39 – 103.88

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

270 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 80.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 392.3 ±11.2

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -0.52Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 111.34Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 57.57Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.7 ±12.2

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 41.35Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6100MS Mobots

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 34.31Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9662Valley Lutheran Chargers

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 28.22Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7210, 2337, 4381

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7210, 2337, 4381

Auto

28.3 17%

Teleop

102.0 61%

Endgame

37.1 22%

Strengths

· 2337 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4422, 6100, 9662

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4422, 6100, 9662

Auto

15.7 15%

Teleop

66.4 63%

Endgame

23.8 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score168.4pts

Blue projected score103.9pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.5
Score range: 88–184
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 314 vs event baseline 88.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

392.3Season APEX239.7

28.3Auto15.7

102Teleop66.4

37.1Endgame23.8

14Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	18
teleop	143	17
endgame	50	9
foul	20	0
total	270	44

Result

Final score

270 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 80.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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