FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0.77 – 72.84

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 34.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 138.7 ±13.3

6071The Aluminators

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 17.4Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9568AstroBots

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX -23.01Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5234Marauder Bots

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 6.38Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.7 ±11.6

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 36.29Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10978Complete Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 23.05Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5084Team FridgeBot

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 13.5Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6071, 9568, 5234

/ 100 compat

Projected

0.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6071, 9568, 5234

Auto

6.1 100%

Teleop

-10.5 0%

Endgame

7.5 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9773, 10978, 5084

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9773, 10978, 5084

Auto

17.4 24%

Teleop

34.9 48%

Endgame

20.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score0.8pts

Blue projected score72.8pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -72.1
Score range: -15–89
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 142 vs event baseline 89.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

138.7Season APEX223.7

6.1Auto17.4

-10.5Teleop34.9

7.5Endgame20.1

30Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	31
teleop	8	45
endgame	17	27
foul	0	0
total	39	103

Result

Final score

39 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 34.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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