FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

91.8 – 71.64

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

103 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 6.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 178 ±13.3

6033Gadget Agents

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 38.86Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9755Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX -1.69Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5697Bearcats

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 54.63Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 187.8 ±12.8

6533BeaverTech noducks

Season APEX 45Event APEX 2.93Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3688Norsemen

Season APEX 84Event APEX 38.29Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7109Clare Chaos Theory

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 30.42Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6033, 9755, 5697

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6033, 9755, 5697

Auto

16.4 18%

Teleop

34.0 38%

Endgame

39.8 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6533, 3688, 7109

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6533, 3688, 7109

Auto

19.3 28%

Teleop

37.1 53%

Endgame

13.0 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score91.8pts

Blue projected score71.6pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 20.2
Score range: 56–108
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 89.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

178Season APEX187.8

16.4Auto19.3

34Teleop37.1

39.8Endgame13

48Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	23
teleop	28	30
endgame	38	17
foul	0	0
total	103	70

Result

Final score

103 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 6.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.