FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

4.23 – 191.54

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

24 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 57.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 152.7 ±12.1

9650Mio Thunderbotz

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX -8.6Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5235Gears of Fortune

Season APEX 56.9Event APEX 15.54Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX -2.71Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 432.3 ±11.1

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 130.12Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5436Cyber Cats

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 49.9Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 11.52Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9650, 5235, 9673

/ 100 compat

Projected

4.2 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9650, 5235, 9673

Auto

6.2 86%

Teleop

4.9 68%

Endgame

-3.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7166, 5436, 9661

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.5 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7166, 5436, 9661

Auto

45.9 24%

Teleop

85.0 44%

Endgame

60.5 32%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.45 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score4.2pts

Blue projected score191.5pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -187.3
Score range: -12–208
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 311 vs event baseline 87.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

152.7Season APEX432.3

6.2Auto45.9

4.9Teleop85

-3.9Endgame60.5

75Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	64
teleop	6	158
endgame	1	65
foul	10	0
total	24	287

Result

Final score

24 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 57.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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