FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

72.19 – 29.63

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

91 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 216.9 ±12.2

5110Roboherd

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 25.63Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 28.87Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5162The Big Red Theory

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 17.69Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 153.4 ±13.3

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 21.22Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9594Ashley Bears

Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 25.81Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX -17.4Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5110, 3767, 5162

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5110, 3767, 5162

Auto

14.7 22%

Teleop

32.7 48%

Endgame

20.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3655, 9594, 10613

/ 100 compat

Projected

29.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3655, 9594, 10613

Auto

12.6 41%

Teleop

14.9 49%

Endgame

2.9 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.2pts

Blue projected score29.6pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42.6
Score range: 14–88
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 154 vs event baseline 87.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

216.9Season APEX153.4

14.7Auto12.6

32.7Teleop14.9

20.8Endgame2.9

92Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	16
teleop	49	35
endgame	23	12
foul	5	0
total	91	63

Result

Final score

91 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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