FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

66.57 – 76.83

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

123 – 80

Prediction missed · off by 29.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.6 ±11.7

9662Valley Lutheran Chargers

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 21.57Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10614AEA Robolution

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 12.33Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 32.67Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.2 ±12.7

6071The Aluminators

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 22.86Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8286E.A.G.L.E.S. Robotics

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 32.94Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 21.03Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9662, 10614, 8873

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9662, 10614, 8873

Auto

8.6 13%

Teleop

41.5 65%

Endgame

14.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6071, 8286, 7195

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6071, 8286, 7195

Auto

2.9 4%

Teleop

44.0 57%

Endgame

29.7 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score66.6pts

Blue projected score76.8pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.3
Score range: 51–93
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 203 vs event baseline 87.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.6Season APEX180.2

8.6Auto2.9

41.5Teleop44

14Endgame29.7

3Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	9
teleop	77	48
endgame	30	23
foul	0	0
total	123	80

Result

Final score

123 – 80

Prediction missed · off by 29.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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