FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

75.49 – 43.56

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

80 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 317.3 ±10.5

10978Complete Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 21.6Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

573Mech Warriors

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 61.65Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9650Mio Thunderbotz

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX -7.76Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.2 ±12.7

6642Stingers of Steel

Season APEX 45Event APEX 16.88Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5436Cyber Cats

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 48.83Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9568AstroBots

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX -22.15Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10978, 573, 9650

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10978, 573, 9650

Auto

13.2 18%

Teleop

54.5 73%

Endgame

7.2 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6642, 5436, 9568

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6642, 5436, 9568

Auto

14.9 33%

Teleop

14.5 32%

Endgame

15.7 35%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.5pts

Blue projected score43.6pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31.9
Score range: 28–91
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 148 vs event baseline 87.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

317.3Season APEX199.2

13.2Auto14.9

54.5Teleop14.5

7.2Endgame15.7

85Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	12
teleop	39	28
endgame	11	28
foul	0	0
total	80	68

Result

Final score

80 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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