FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

45.46 – 49.6

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 31 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 126.6 ±13.3

5162The Big Red Theory

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 16.69Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 20.47Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5231The Radical Jays

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 8.3Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.7 ±12.1

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 0.42Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5110Roboherd

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 13.64Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 35.54Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5162, 3655, 5231

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5162, 3655, 5231

Auto

10.6 23%

Teleop

30.3 65%

Endgame

6.0 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9661, 5110, 9773

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9661, 5110, 9773

Auto

21.3 43%

Teleop

15.8 32%

Endgame

12.9 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score45.5pts

Blue projected score49.6pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.1
Score range: 29–66
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 157 vs event baseline 88.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

126.6Season APEX209.7

10.6Auto21.3

30.3Teleop15.8

6Endgame12.9

50Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	30
teleop	13	38
endgame	14	33
foul	0	10
total	46	111

Result

Final score

46 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 31 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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