FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

171.96 – 172.62

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

217 – 148

Prediction missed · off by 34.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 396.8 ±10.5

3688Norsemen

Season APEX 84Event APEX 33.48Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6033Gadget Agents

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 30.55Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 107.93Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 376.1 ±11.1

5235Gears of Fortune

Season APEX 56.9Event APEX 24.2Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5234Marauder Bots

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 13.67Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 134.75Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3688, 6033, 2337

/ 100 compat

Projected

172 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3688, 6033, 2337

Auto

28.0 17%

Teleop

106.1 64%

Endgame

30.7 19%

Strengths

· 2337 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5235, 5234, 7166

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5235, 5234, 7166

Auto

39.2 23%

Teleop

81.4 47%

Endgame

53.4 31%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score172pts

Blue projected score172.6pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.7
Score range: 157–188
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 365 vs event baseline 84.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

396.8Season APEX376.1

28Auto39.2

106.1Teleop81.4

30.7Endgame53.4

47Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	40
teleop	108	65
endgame	75	43
foul	5	0
total	217	148

Result

Final score

217 – 148

Prediction missed · off by 34.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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