FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

224.96 – 100.11

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

206 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 445.4 ±10.5

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 45.55Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6642Stingers of Steel

Season APEX 45Event APEX 21.69Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 157.72Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.8 ±11.6

5084Team FridgeBot

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 13.03Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 37.79Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 49.29Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4422, 6642, 7166

/ 100 compat

Projected

225 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4422, 6642, 7166

Auto

50.1 22%

Teleop

127.9 56%

Endgame

48.4 21%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5084, 3655, 3767

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5084, 3655, 3767

Auto

18.0 18%

Teleop

56.8 58%

Endgame

22.5 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score225pts

Blue projected score100.1pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 124.9
Score range: 79–246
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 272 vs event baseline 114.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

445.4Season APEX213.8

50.1Auto18

127.9Teleop56.8

48.4Endgame22.5

3Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	15
teleop	110	36
endgame	53	15
foul	0	0
total	206	66

Result

Final score

206 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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