FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

59.09 – 64.47

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 47.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.4 ±12.1

5084Team FridgeBot

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 10.64Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 14.04Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6100MS Mobots

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 34.41Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 237.6 ±12.2

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX -10.86Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 20.51Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5697Bearcats

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 54.82Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5084, 7195, 6100

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5084, 7195, 6100

Auto

7.3 13%

Teleop

36.0 62%

Endgame

14.7 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9673, 3767, 5697

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9673, 3767, 5697

Auto

14.8 22%

Teleop

31.2 47%

Endgame

20.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score59.1pts

Blue projected score64.5pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -5.4
Score range: 44–79
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 218 vs event baseline 83.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.4Season APEX237.6

7.3Auto14.8

36Teleop31.2

14.7Endgame20.2

107Consistency125

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	25
teleop	49	71
endgame	48	18
foul	0	0
total	104	114

Result

Final score

104 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 47.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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