FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 127.96

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

29 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 35 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 185.3 ±12.2

1711RAPTORS

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 9.06Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10614AEA Robolution

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 4.96Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX -17.28Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192.1 ±12.2

8286E.A.G.L.E.S. Robotics

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 46.73Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 69.85Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6533BeaverTech noducks

Season APEX 45Event APEX 11.38Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1711, 10614, 10613

/ 100 compat

Projected

-3.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1711, 10614, 10613

Auto

0.8 0%

Teleop

0.2 0%

Endgame

-4.3 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8286, 4381, 6533

/ 100 compat

Projected

128 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8286, 4381, 6533

Auto

18.0 14%

Teleop

73.2 57%

Endgame

38.2 30%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-3.3pts

Blue projected score128pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -128
Score range: -15–143
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 116 vs event baseline 84.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

185.3Season APEX192.1

0.8Auto18

0.2Teleop73.2

-4.3Endgame38.2

114Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	20
teleop	10	53
endgame	2	14
foul	0	0
total	29	87

Result

Final score

29 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 35 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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