FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

138.76 – 7.93

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

242 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 87.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 370.1 ±11.7

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 90.31Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6071The Aluminators

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 3.89Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5436Cyber Cats

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 44.56Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.6 ±13.3

9568AstroBots

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX -25.81Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7109Clare Chaos Theory

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 17.27Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6033Gadget Agents

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 16.47Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2337, 6071, 5436

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2337, 6071, 5436

Auto

24.2 18%

Teleop

70.3 52%

Endgame

40.9 30%

Strengths

· 2337 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9568, 7109, 6033

/ 100 compat

Projected

7.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9568, 7109, 6033

Auto

8.3 100%

Teleop

2.0 27%

Endgame

-3.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score138.8pts

Blue projected score7.9pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 130.8
Score range: -7–154
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 82.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

370.1Season APEX186.6

24.2Auto8.3

70.3Teleop2

40.9Endgame-3

78Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	18
teleop	142	33
endgame	70	23
foul	0	5
total	242	79

Result

Final score

242 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 87.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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