FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

99.73 – 63.62

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

19 – 82

Prediction missed · off by 49.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 146.4 ±12.7

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 22.98Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6642Stingers of Steel

Season APEX 45Event APEX 37.48Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5235Gears of Fortune

Season APEX 56.9Event APEX 39.27Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 168.6 ±12.1

6100MS Mobots

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 25.72Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5110Roboherd

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 15.23Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 22.67Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7210, 6642, 5235

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7210, 6642, 5235

Auto

14.7 14%

Teleop

57.2 56%

Endgame

30.6 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6100, 5110, 3655

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6100, 5110, 3655

Auto

17.1 27%

Teleop

33.9 53%

Endgame

13.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99.7pts

Blue projected score63.6pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.1
Score range: 49–115
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 101 vs event baseline 83.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

146.4Season APEX168.6

14.7Auto17.1

57.2Teleop33.9

30.6Endgame13.2

0Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	15
teleop	2	39
endgame	6	28
foul	0	0
total	19	82

Result

Final score

19 – 82

Prediction missed · off by 49.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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