FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.41 – 101.94

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 7.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.4 ±11.6

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 14.92Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 41.63Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1711RAPTORS

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 13.86Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 364.6 ±11.2

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 38.44Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 26.49Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9594Ashley Bears

Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 37.01Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9673, 9773, 1711

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9673, 9773, 1711

Auto

16.1 23%

Teleop

32.2 45%

Endgame

23.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4422, 8873, 9594

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4422, 8873, 9594

Auto

19.4 20%

Teleop

47.7 50%

Endgame

28.6 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.4pts

Blue projected score101.9pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.5
Score range: 55–117
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 157 vs event baseline 83.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

261.4Season APEX364.6

16.1Auto19.4

32.2Teleop47.7

23.1Endgame28.6

107Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	22
teleop	24	61
endgame	11	17
foul	0	0
total	57	100

Result

Final score

57 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 7.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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