Qualification · Qualification 20
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
31.42 – 27.4
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
78 – 182
Prediction missed · off by 100.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 144 ±12.7
Season APEX 65.5Event APEX -7.4Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33.5Event APEX -0.75Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 45Event APEX 39.57Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 348.9 ±11.1
Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 49.3Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.9Event APEX 1.65Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.7Event APEX -23.55Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6033, 5231, 6642
38
/ 100 compatProjected
31.4 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6033, 5231, 6642
Auto
4.1 14%
Teleop
20.2 69%
Endgame
4.9 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2337, 5235, 10614
21
/ 100 compatProjected
27.4 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2337, 5235, 10614
Auto
3.7 15%
Teleop
31.0 100%
Endgame
-10.3 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score31.4pts
Blue projected score27.4pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 4
- Score range
- 12–46
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
144Season APEX348.9
4.1Auto3.7
20.2Teleop31
4.9Endgame-10.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 15 |
| teleop | 33 | 125 |
| endgame | 15 | 42 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 78 | 182 |
Result
Final score
78 – 182
Prediction missed · off by 100.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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