FIM District Mt Pleasant Event presented by AT&T

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

72.48 – 32.08

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

134 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 31.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 300 ±11.7

5234Marauder Bots

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 6.32Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9662Valley Lutheran Chargers

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 3.05Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

573Mech Warriors

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 63.11Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141 ±12.7

5110Roboherd

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 17.98Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8286E.A.G.L.E.S. Robotics

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 7.39Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10613AEA Alterbots

Season APEX 41Event APEX 6.71Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5234, 9662, 573

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5234, 9662, 573

Auto

24.7 36%

Teleop

34.6 51%

Endgame

9.2 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5110, 8286, 10613

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5110, 8286, 10613

Auto

5.8 18%

Teleop

12.2 37%

Endgame

14.8 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.5pts

Blue projected score32.1pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.4
Score range: 18–86
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 168 vs event baseline 78.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

300Season APEX141

24.7Auto5.8

34.6Teleop12.2

9.2Endgame14.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	7
teleop	65	17
endgame	38	10
foul	0	0
total	134	34

Result

Final score

134 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 31.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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